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This is part of The Recombobulation Area and Civic Media’s 2024 Wisconsin State Legislature Voter Guide. Read the first part of the series, “New Board, New Game,” here. See the full district-by-district breakdown of the Wisconsin State Senate here. See the comprehensive Voter Guide here.
Under old maps, the city of West Allis was carved up into several different districts. But now, most of the city is located within the new 14th. Like many Milwaukee County suburbs, this district has a Democratic lean. With the current District 14 incumbent, Robyn Vining, drawn into the 13th, that makes this one an open seat.
There was a competitive Democratic primary in August for this race, and Angelito Tenorio came out ahead, winning 37% of the vote, besting Nathan Kieso (34%) and Brady Coulthard (29%). Tenorio served in the Wisconsin Army National Guard from 2015 to 2018, and served a partial term on the West Allis Common Council from 2020 to 2022. He also ran for State Treasurer in 2022, coming in third in the Democratic primary.
The Republican running in this open seat is Jim Engstrand, a military veteran. Engstrand previously ran for State Senate in 2020, coming in fifth in the Republican Primary in District 28. He also ran for Congress in Texas twice, neither time gaining more than 10% of the vote in the Republican primary.
There is also an independent candidate running for Assembly in this district, Steven Shevey. In 2020, he ran for Assembly in the Republican primary, coming in third, and in 2018, ran for Assembly as a candidate from the “Moderation Party,” coming in fourth.
CNalysis: Very Likely D
Modeled 2022 outcome: D+13.5